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Book · open access
Sensitivity Analysis for Business, Technology, and Policymaking: Made Easy with Simulation Decomposition (SimDec)
Foreword
- Does it need to be this way?Andrea Saltelli
Part I · Introduction
- 1. Methodological landscape of sensitivity analysis and the place of SimDecMariia Kozlova, Samuele Lo Piano, Julian Scott Yeomans
- 2. SimDec algorithm and guidelines for its usage and interpretationMariia Kozlova, Robert J. Moss, Pamphile Roy, Abid Alam, Julian Scott Yeomans
- 3. Overview of SimDec applicationsMariia Kozlova, Julian Scott Yeomans
Part II · Applications: Business
- 4. Unlocking actionability in financial modelling with Simulation DecompositionRoman Stepanov, Mariia Kozlova, Julian Scott Yeomans
- 5. Unpacking the role of contextual factors in public support for mitigating revenue risk in public–private partnership projectsRoberta Pellegrino, Mariia Kozlova, Luiz Brandao, Julian Scott Yeomans
- 6. Printing homes: unit cost estimation for additive manufacturing in constructionAlexander N. Walzer, Mariia Kozlova, Julian Scott Yeomans
- 7. Where should we go? Deep tech market entry decisions through the lens of uncertaintyAlexander Myers, Mariia Kozlova, Julian Scott Yeomans
Part III · Applications: Environment
- 8. Uncertainty considerations in life cycle assessment of COVID-19 masks: single-use versus reusableNatalia Vinitskaia, Anna Zaikova, Mariia Kozlova, Julian Scott Yeomans
- 9. Model fidelity analysis for sequential decision-making systems using Simulation Decomposition: case study of critical mineral explorationRobert J. Moss, Mariia Kozlova, Anthony Corso, Jef Caers
- 10. Upgrading the toolbox of techno-economic assessment with SimDec: Power-to-X caseHannu Karjunen, Sini-Kaisu Kinnunen, Arto Laari, Antero Tervonen, Petteri Laaksonen, Mariia Kozlova, Julian Scott Yeomans
Part IV · Applications: Engineering
- 11. Capturing multi-dimensional nonlinear behaviour of a steel structure reliability model – global sensitivity analysisAntti Ahola, Mariia Kozlova, Julian Scott Yeomans
- 12. Sensitivity analysis of a superconducting magnet design modelManuel García Pérez, Mariia Kozlova, Susana Izquierdo Bermúdez, Juan Carlos Pérez, Julian Scott Yeomans
Part V · Applications: Behavioural science
- 13. New level of personal decision-making: day-to-day choices with SimDecAnna Sidorenko, Daria Moshkivska, Mariia Kozlova, Julian Scott Yeomans
Afterword
- SimDec meets SIPmathSam L. Savage
Key papers
- Uncovering heterogeneous effects in computational models for sustainable decision-makingEnvironmental Modelling & Software, 2024
- Simple binning algorithm and SimDec visualization for comprehensive sensitivity analysis of complex computational modelsJ. Environmental Informatics Letters, 2025
- Simulation decomposition in PythonJ. Open Source Software, 2024
- Regional variance-based sensitivity analysis and a study of regional equifinalityRisk Analysis, 2026
- Beyond global importance: a heterogeneity index for sensitivity analysisarXiv preprint, 2026
- Multichoice modeling: exploring decision configuration space under uncertaintyarXiv preprint, 2026